Al Raed vs. Al Ahli, H2H, Preview and Prediction

Saudi Pro League: Al Raed vs. Al Ahli | Date: May 23, 2024 | Time: 20:30 Hrs. | Location: King Abdullah Sport City Stadium, Buraidah, Saudi Arabia

Al Raed is going head to head with Al Ahli starting on May 23^rd, 2024 at 20:30 Hrs. The match is a part of the Saudi Professional League. This match is part of round 32, in Saudi Pro League standing, Al Raed stands on 12^th position with 35 points from 32 matches, while Al Ahli stands at 3^rd position with 61 points on points table.

Al Raed vs. Al Ahli H2H

Al-Raed averaged 1.25 goals per game throughout the actual season. There were more than 1.5 goals scored overall (by both the club and the opposition) in 13 (81.25%) home games. Ten (62.50%) of the 2024 season’s home games had a cumulative goal total (team and opponent) of more than 2.5 goals.

In the 2024 season, Al Ahli averaged 2 goals per game. Out of 14 (82.35%) away games, the total goals (both team and opponent) were more than 1.5 goals. Goals total for the away team in 13 (76.47%) of the games played were more than 2.5 goals.

Al Raed averages 1.25 goals per game at home and away, with 20 of their 40 goals coming from home, or 50% of the total. With an average of 1.56 goals surrendered per game at home, they have let up 25 goals, or 52% of their total of 48 goals, at home.

Al Ahli SC has scored 38 goals on the road, or 62% of their 61 goals overall, with an average of 2.38 goals per game. With an average of 1.56 goals given up per game away, they have conceded 25 goals away, or 74% of their total of 34 goals.

Three games had 0 or 1 goal, four had 2 or 3 goals, and three had 4 or more goals in the previous ten head-to-head matchups. Three goals, happening three times, were the most frequent total.

Head- to- Head Analysis

Since 2009, Al Raed and Al Ahli Jeddah have participated in thirty games. Here is a head-to-head analysis of past games:

• Al Ahli Jeddah won 20 matches (total goals: 63), Al Raed won 6 (total goals: 37), and 4 matches ended in a draw.
• Past Performance: Asian Handicap Win Rate: 25.0%; Total Goals: Over 50.0%.
• In the last five games, Al Raed has won two, drawn two, lost one, and conceded 1.6 goals per game.
• Their winning percentage with an Asian handicap is 40.0%, while their overall goal percentage is more than 40.0%.
• Al Ahli Jeddah has won three, drawn zero, lost two, and conceded 1.4 goals per game in their last five games.
• Their winning percentage with an Asian handicap is 60.0%, and their overall goal percentage is more than 60.0%.

Preview Al Raed vs. Al Ahli

The encounters between Al-Raed Club and Al-Ahli Saudi FC have often showcased thrilling football, with a common result emerging as a 0-1 win in favor of Al-Ahli Saudi FC in four matches. Historically, Al-Ahli Saudi FC has dominated the fixture, especially when playing away at Al-Raed Club’s home ground. Out of the last 12 meetings with Al-Raed Club hosting, Al-Ahli Saudi FC has won nine times, drawn twice, and lost just once, with a goal difference of 29-11 in their favor.

Over the last 24 meetings, Al-Ahli Saudi FC have been the superior side, winning 15 matches compared to Al-Raed Club’s five victories, with four matches ending in draws. The overall goal difference stands at 50-28 in favor of Al-Ahli Saudi FC. This dominance is mirrored in their recent performances, where Al-Ahli Saudi FC has outperformed Al-Raed Club in the Saudi Pro League.

Scoring Trends and Key Players

Al-Raed Club scored 23% of their goals between the 46th and 60th minutes, highlighting their ability to start the second half strongly. On the other hand, Al-Ahli Saudi FC scored 25% of their goals between the 31st and 45th minutes, showing their knack for striking before halftime. This season, Al-Raed Club has failed to score in five of their 16 home matches, whereas Al-Ahli Saudi FC has found the net in all 16 of their away matches.

The top scorers for both teams, Karim El Berkaoui and Firas Al-Buraikan, have each netted 12 goals this season. Julio Tavares has been Al-Raed Club’s top assist provider with five assists, while Riyad Mahrez leads Al-Ahli Saudi FC with 12 assists. On the disciplinary front, Hamad Sulaiman Al Jayzani of Al-Raed Club and Roger Ibanez of Al-Ahli Saudi FC have both accumulated 10 yellow cards.

Defensively, Al-Ahli Saudi FC have shown some vulnerability, conceding goals in each of their last six matches. However, they have managed to score in their last eight consecutive matches. Al-Raed Club, despite their struggles, have maintained a strong home record, winning 80% of the matches where they lead 1-0. Conversely, when trailing 0-1 at home, they manage to win only 10% of the time.

Comparative Analysis

Al-Ahli Saudi FC tends to perform better in the first half, winning 45% of their matches compared to Al-Raed Club’s 22%. When Al-Ahli Saudi FC leads 0-1 away, they secure victory in 70% of their matches, whereas Al-Raed Club wins 62% of the time when leading 1-0 at home. When falling behind 1-0 away, Al-Ahli Saudi FC still manages to win 25% of their matches, in stark contrast to Al-Raed Club’s 10% home comeback rate.

The recent head-to-head encounters have been competitive. Al-Raed Club have lost just once in their last five games against Al-Ahli Saudi FC across all competitions, winning three and drawing one. In terms of recent league performance, Al-Raed Club have matched this, losing just once in their last five Saudi Pro League games against Al-Ahli Saudi FC.

On average, meetings between these two sides produce 2.6 goals per match, with 1.2 goals typically scored in the first half. Al-Raed Club averages 1.18 goals when playing at home, while Al-Ahli Saudi FC scores 2.16 goals on average in away fixtures. Despite both teams not winning their last league matches, this fixture promises to deliver its usual excitement.

As Al-Raed Club and Al-Ahli Saudi FC prepare to clash once again, historical data and current form suggest a highly competitive match. Al-Ahli Saudi FC’s dominance in the past will be challenged by an Al-Raed Club side looking to leverage their recent strong performances. Fans can expect an engaging encounter with potential twists, given both teams’ abilities to score and the pressure to secure vital points in the Saudi Pro League.

Al Raed vs. Al Ahli Prediction

The most likely result of this match, according to our analysis of all available data, including player stats and recent performances, is an Al-Ahli victory with a probability of 62.43%. The likelihood of a tie is 21%, while the likelihood of Al Raed winning is 16.52%.

With a chance of 10.98%, the most likely result for an Al-Ahli victory is 0-1. For such a result, the next most likely score lines are 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (10.9%). The likelihood of a tied match is 1-1 (9.99%), but the likelihood of an Al Raed victory is 1-0 (5.03%).

Watch: Al Raed vs. Al Ahli Live score