Al Shabab vs. Al Fateh, H2H, Preview and Prediction

Saudi Pro League: Al Shabab vs. Al Fateh | Date: May 27, 2024 | Time: 20:30 Hrs. | Location: Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh

Al Shabab is going head to head with Al Fateh starting on May 27^th, 2024 at 20:30 Hrs. The match is a part of the Saudi Professional League. This match is part of round 34, in Saudi Pro League standing, Al Shabab stands on 9^thposition with 41 points from 33 matches, while Al Fateh stands at 7^th position with 45 points on points table.

Al Shabab vs. Al Fateh H2H

In the 2024 season, Al Shabab averaged 1.22 goals per game throughout the actual season. Over 1.5 goals were scored overall (by both the team and the opposition) in 14 (77.78%) home games. Nine (50.00%) of the 2024 season’s home games had a total goal total (team and opponent) of more than 2.5 goals.

In the 2024 season, Al Fateh FC averaged 1.57 goals per game. Total goals (team and opponent) in 18 (85.71%) away games More than 1.5 goals. Total goals (team and opponent) were scored in 14 (66.67%) away games. More than 2.5 goals.

Head- to- Head Analysis

Al Shabab let up 20 goals (51% of their total of 39 goals) and scored 28 goals (67% of their total of 42 goals) at home. They rank fifth and sixth, respectively, with an average of 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 goals conceded per home game.

Al Fateh conceded 27 goals (53% of their 51 goals) and scored 27 goals (51% of their 53 goals) away from home. They rank fourth and eleventh, respectively, with an average of 1.69 goals scored and 1.69 goals conceded per away game.

Out of the past ten games, one had one goal, seven had two to three goals, and two had four or more. Three goals were the most frequent number, appearing four times. Al Fateh had a shooting effectiveness of 15.91%, compared to 17.5% for Al Shabab. In these matches, both sides averaged 1.4 goals per game; Al Shabab scored 0.09 more and Al Fateh scored 0.26 fewer than their season averages.

Yannick Carrasco leads Al Shabab in scoring with seven goals. Cristian Tello leads Al Fateh in scoring with ten goals. Neither player is among the top 10 scorers in the league.

Performance Analysis

• Al Shabab has been red-carded more times this season than any other team. They have been given seven red cards in thirty-two games (the league average is 3.8 red cards). Damac is the only other squad with an identical record.
• When it comes to ball possession thus far this season, Al Shabab is among the top three clubs in the league. They have had possession of the ball for 57.3% of the game on average.
• Al Shabab is one of the three clubs in the league with the fewest free kicks conceded thus far this season. They have already allowed their opponents to score 471 free kicks in 32 games (the league average is 432.6 free kicks). It equates to 14.7 free kicks per game.

Preview Al Shabab vs Al Fateh

The encounters between Al-Shabab FC and Al-Fateh SC have always been riveting, often culminating in tightly contested matches. The most frequent result when Al-Shabab FC hosts Al-Fateh SC is a 1-1 draw, with four matches ending in this stalemate. This scoreline is also the most common outcome overall between the two teams, occurring seven times. Over the last 12 home games for Al-Shabab FC, they have managed five wins, five draws, and two losses to Al-Fateh SC, with a goal difference of 16-13 in favor of Al-Shabab FC.

In their last 26 meetings, Al-Shabab FC has secured 10 victories, with nine draws and seven wins for Al-Fateh SC. The goal difference leans slightly towards Al-Shabab FC at 31-29. Last season, the teams faced off twice, with Al-Shabab FC winning 1-0 at home and Al-Fateh SC dominating their home match 4-1. This demonstrates the competitive nature of their fixtures and the ability of both sides to perform on their turf.

Scoring Patterns and Key Moments

Al-Shabab FC has a distinct scoring pattern, netting 45% of their goals between the minutes 76-90, the highest percentage in the league. On the other hand, Al-Fateh SC scores 28% of their goals in the same timeframe, indicating both teams’ penchant for late-game action.

Al-Fateh SC is currently struggling, having failed to win in their last four games. Al-Shabab FC, despite having a challenging season, has had a slightly better recent performance, losing only one of their last five games against Al-Fateh SC in all competitions. However, Al-Shabab FC has been plagued by disciplinary issues, receiving seven red cards this season, the highest in the Saudi Pro League.

Al-Shabab FC has shown resilience at home, failing to score in only one of their 16 home matches this season. Conversely, Al-Fateh SC has also been consistent away, not scoring in just one of their 16 away matches. Despite these stats, Al-Fateh SC has not won any of their last five away games, a worrying trend as they head into this fixture.

Al Shabab vs Al Fateh Key players and statistics

Yannick Carrasco has been a standout player for Al-Shabab FC, leading the team with seven goals and five assists. For Al-Fateh SC, Cristian Tello has scored 10 times, with Lucas Zelarayan providing nine assists. These players will be crucial in determining the outcome of the match.

Both teams have had their defensive struggles. Al-Fateh SC has conceded in each of their last six matches, while Al-Shabab FC has also had lapses in defense. Al-Fateh SC has, however, been more consistent in attack, scoring in 13 consecutive matches.

Al-Shabab FC wins the first half in 20% of their matches, while Al-Fateh SC has a better first-half win rate at 34%. When leading 1-0 at home, Al-Shabab FC wins 73% of their matches, showcasing their ability to hold onto leads. Al-Fateh SC, when leading 0-1 away, wins 50% of their matches, indicating a strong capability to maintain advantages on the road.

Recent Trends and Performance Comparison

Both teams are coming off losses in their last matches, which adds an extra layer of intensity to their upcoming clash. Al-Shabab FC has a slightly better overall performance in the Saudi Pro League compared to Al-Fateh SC. In their last five meetings, Al-Shabab FC has won twice, with Al-Fateh SC winning once and two matches ending in draws.

Matches between Al-Shabab FC and Al-Fateh SC tend to be goal-rich affairs, with an average of 2.6 goals per game. Al-Shabab FC scores an average of 1.62 goals at home, while Al-Fateh SC scores 1.56 goals away. This statistical analysis suggests a potentially high-scoring match where both teams are likely to find the net.

The upcoming match between Al-Shabab FC and Al-Fateh SC promises to be an engaging encounter, reflecting the competitive history and recent form of both teams. Fans can expect a match filled with intensity, strategic plays, and possibly a flurry of late goals. As both teams vie for crucial points in the Saudi Pro League, every moment will count in what is set to be a classic showdown.

Al Shabab vs Al Fateh Prediction

The most likely result of this match, according to our analysis of all available data, including player stats and recent performances, is an Al Shabab victory with a chance of 49.09%. The chance of an Al Fateh victory is 28.64%, while the probability of a draw is 22.3%.

With a 9.29% chance, a 2-1 victory for Al Shabab is the most likely outcome. With that result, the next most likely scorelines are 1-0 (6.9%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The probability that Al Fateh will win is 1-2 (6.89%), but the probability of a tie is 1-1 (9.75%).

Watch: Al Shabab vs. Al Fateh Live score